XAUUSD prices continue to strengthen, setting a new all-time high around 4,170 USD amid ongoing US dollar weakness. Find more details in our analysis for 14 October 2025.
XAUUSD forecast: key trading points
- Market focus: the US government shutdown continues
- Current trend: trending upwards
- XAUUSD forecast for 14 October 2025: 4,250 or 4,100
Fundamental analysis
XAUUSD prices exceeded 4,100 USD per ounce, setting a new all-time record amid escalating trade tensions between the US and China and growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut.
Gold’s rally intensified after President Donald Trump reignited trade disputes with Beijing, fuelling concerns among investors and driving demand for safe-haven assets. Traders are now pricing in a 97% likelihood of a Federal Reserve rate cut in October and fully expect another reduction in December.
XAUUSD technical analysis
XAUUSD quotes are rallying on the daily chart, hitting a new all-time high near 4,170 USD. The Alligator indicator is also trending higher, signalling the possibility of further upside after a brief correction.
The short-term XAUUSD price forecast suggests further growth towards 4,250 USD if bulls maintain momentum. Conversely, if bears regain control and push prices below 4,100 USD, a correction towards the 4,000 USD support level may follow.
Summary
Gold continues to surge, climbing above 4,100 USD. Market participants are now anticipating another Federal Reserve rate cut in October.
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