Less than a week before the presidential election in the United States CNNMoney summarizes the statements of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump on key issues, namely: the labor market, the tax system, the stock market and the economy.
1. Jobs: Clinton focuses on increasing the number of jobs, Trump policy will cause their decline
According to analysts, Hillary Clinton - the winner of the creation of new jobs. According to the analysis of Oxford Economics, in case of victory the US economy will create 4.7 million new jobs have until 2020. And Moody's forecasts, the Democratic candidate will be able to achieve growth of the employed population to 10.4 million.
Politics Trump will lead to employment growth of only 700 000 for the same period. In Moody's even expected to reduce the number of jobs at 500 000. According to experts, the policy of the Republican candidate in the immigration issue, and trade will be the main limiting factor in the growth of new jobs.
2. Taxes: Clinton for raising Trump for reducing
Tax Plan Trump will have a positive impact ... until 2024. In the study, UPenn and the Tax Policy Center found that tax cuts can stimulate growth in the short term. However, the decline in tax revenues will lead to an increase in the federal debt.
Clinton's plan to raise taxes will have the opposite effect, according to the study. In the short term, the economy will suffer from higher taxes. However, in the long term, tax revenues can be used for the construction of new roads and bridges.
3. Equities: Clinton standout, but the next day after the elections may become a shock anyway
According to Macroeconomic Advisers, Clinton victory would cause S & P 500 index increased by 2%. It's not much, but better than a collapse in the event of victory Trump.
If the US president would be the Republican nominee, shares will fall by 8%, according to the company's forecasts. Trump extremely unpredictable - a trait that is so hated markets. The Brookings Institution expect a collapse of the stock market by 10-15% in the case of Trump victory.
4. Economy: Trump promises significant growth, but experts say that Clinton - the best choice for economy
Donald Trump has repeatedly said that he would do everything possible to accelerate the volume of US GDP growth to 4% per year. But experts doubt that this is possible.
According to Oxford Economics, Trump policy will cost the economy $ 1 trillion by the end of his first term as president. When Clinton expect stunning growth is not necessary, but the current growth trend is expected to continue.
Based on materials WELTRADE
